Outlook 2022: Passing the Baton

Our resurgent economy grew at over a 6% pace in the first half of the year and is on track for over 5% growth for the year when 2021 draws to a close. The current economic recovery, which started in May 2020, has benefited from widespread vaccine availability and...

Midyear Outlook 2021: Picking Up Speed

THE U.S. ECONOMY powered forward faster than nearly anyone had expected in the first half of 2021. As we were writing our Outlook for 2021 in late 2020, our economic views were significantly more optimistic than consensus forecasts—but in retrospect, not nearly...

Outlook 2021: Powering Forward

MORE THAN MOST YEARS, it’s hard to look ahead to the next year, to 2021, without looking back at 2020. A global pandemic, a massive economic collapse, a bear market, a surprisingly sharp reversal, a hotly contested election where passions ran high, the impact of...

Investment Implications of the new Tax Law

KEY TAKEAWAYS In this Timely Topics, we take a look at a few of the implications of the final tax bill. The new law is intended to boost economic activity and simplify the U.S. tax code. Given clarity on the new tax law, we are raising estimates for U.S. GDP and...

Midterms May Mean More Gains for Stocks

With the midterm elections now just two months away and campaigning starting to heat up, we thought we would share our current views on the political landscape and what it may mean for U.S equities. In our two Outlook 2014 publications for this year, we posited that...